Gaza 50 days War: Hamas’s Return Ticket to the Middle East
By Wahid Mardane
Researcher at Neda Institute
October 19, 2014(Tehran, Iran)-After many ups and downs across the Rafah border and early the return of Hamas’s ideological father (Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood) to the pages of history and consequently Hamas’s confusion against the region’s balance in that juncture, most experts acknowledged that this movement had stepped into a period of weakness and even annihilation in its history as political force. The unexpected departure from Syria of the leadership of Hamas, and its turn to the political-ideological front of traditional compromising states in the region, including; Egypt, Turkey, Jordan, Qatar, etc. from the one hand and Israelis’ spreading “red carpets” to this movement including suppling of cement and drinking water to Gaza Strip, giving more concessions to Gaza’s fishermen. besides, some of Israeli political and military officials comments like the Northern command on preferring Hamas over other factions in Gaza, this caused the future of the resistance in the region to be added to the other multiple puzzles in the Middle East.There is the possibility that many of the experts do not have any information about the military capabilities of Hamas or they have neglected it, because in the afore-mentioned juncture authentic news were broadcast about strained relations between Hamas and the Islamic Republic of Iran and even the two sides confirmed it. Therefore, very few people were thinking about the fact that in the very juncture, political and military deals were running between Iran-Syria and Hamas and even the political crisis I Egypt and Iran-Hamas disputes behind the doors had made the Zionists neglect the arms transfer to Gaza.Now, after the Zionists’ invasion of Gaza, the Resistance Faction’s advanced arms and offensive-defensive systems are conspicuously visible. In this regard, chief of Hamas’s foreign relations, Osama Hamdan remarks that the Resistance is of the readiness to continue the war for months even if Hams is the initiator of the next war with the purpose of taking the occupied territories out of the claws of the Zionists.
In fact what is currently going on about Hamas can be mentioned as a tangible example of turning a threat into an opportunity. Gaza war took place under the circumstances where Hamas was held accountable by the Iranian and Syrian public opinions and elites for its performance about Syrian and Morsi’s Muslim Brotherhood government in Egypt. Therefore, since Hamas was aware of its defensive and arms advances, it was waiting for a chance to see its flag once again at the hands of the Resistance supporters in the region. Now, one can acknowledge that once again this flag has become an identity-constructing one and maybe it is for this reason that Hamas is not keen on putting an end to the war.
This hypothesis seems to be true for 5 reasons:
Stop of Israel-Hamas serial wars
Both Palestinian and Zionist analysts are of the belief that Israel-Hamas wars have been like a never-ending series and will continue as episodes. The time and place and characters change, but according to the definition of episode “place and time of the characters change, but the players and the main subject do not change.” Now, the place of war has been shifted from air to land and the characters from the air force to the land force. So, knowing this, Hamas is going to have more interventions in the scenario of the war of 2014 in order to write its script for its favor.
Change in the intervals of upcoming wars from short to long
Hamas is going to prolong the average interval of its wars against the Zionists from a couple of years to a decade at least. The war of 2008, Gaza siege in 2010 and the war of 2012 and also the recent war of 2014 are indicative of a 2 year pattern in the intervals of the cease fire which is to be changed. In the unwritten goals of the Zionist officials, the notion of a severe war against Gaza with the purpose of achieving a more prolonged peace and security had been applied which can confirm the bi-directionality of the mentioned goal.
Proof of Hamas’s development and maturity without the “assistant wheels” of other countries
Hamas is keen to show that without Syria and Egypt’s spiritual and geopolitical supports, it can continue its resistance and proceed with a draft of getting out of war without the intervention of the Palestinian Authority, Qatar, Turkey, Jordan and Egypt’s new system. Of course, Hamas should know that the present and upcoming victories may once again intoxicate them and cause them to make the same mistakes as they did in the political sphere in connection with Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood. Hence, there is no doubt that the independence of Hamas should be the top priority of pro-resistance countries; but by the time it is fully achieved, assistant wheels should be relied on.
Finding a chance for break time in domestic sphere
Concurrent with the war of 2014, Hamas temporarily got out of the socio-economic crisis it was suffering from. Not payment of the employees’ salaries, striking growth of poverty and unemployment and Gaza people’s social dissatisfactions were among other major issues which had put Hamas in a weak position. But, now concurrent with the war, not only it is not accused as the initiator of misfortunes from the domestic and international point of view, but it is introduced as a savior.
War of 2014 as a return ticket to the region
With surprising psychological and military achievements in the war of 2014, the resistance factions have managed to get the ticket of a powerful return to the region. All in all, as expected, the war of 2014 like the previous ones turned out to be short, because in less than ten days serious proposals for cease fire were offered mediated by Egypt which were supposed to be accepted immediately by the resistance factions as in the previous wars. But we had argued that a cease fire in less than 10 days had depended on the reaction of the resistance factions and these factions seized the new chance in which there were a shortage of mediators and less pressure from the previous compromising Islamic states and thus, they prolonged the war as long as they got more concessions.
The victory of Gaza Children against IDF in 50 days Gaza-imposed-war!
Therefore, a historical victory for the resistance factions due to their steadfastness on the continuation of the war it happened and today we can see fresh eyes on Gaza after 50 days typhoon. Now we can yield and praised the victory of Gaza’s children against IDF. So the new generation of Gaza is known as the Palestine future Iron Domes.
Possibly, the next episode of the Zionists’ war against the resistance factions will take place underground, under the land of the prophets and we should wait some new defence systems by Israel as the Underground Iron Domes.
Neda Institute for Scientific Political Research was established in 1996. Due to the direct impacts of the establishment of the Israeli usurper regime on the international policies, particularly on the Middle East and the world of Islam, a group of researchers, Middle East and international relations of islam’s world followers established Neda institute and launched a new move in the developments of the region. The main object of such institute is to acquaintance with the existing political mechanisms in the Middle East as well as a deeper understanding of current social, political, cultural and economic developments of the political units in the region. According to the role and impact of the destructive policies of the holy Quds occupier regime on the countries of the region as well as on the international system, the general direction of the Neda’s activities focused on a proper and true cognition in accordance with a scientific approach to the current developments and political events in the Middle East. Thus, understanding the roots of the crisis and being familiar with the intellectual foundations of Zionism and the overt and covert advocates of Israel in the West, particularly the United States, was put on the agenda.Since then, Neda Institute has succeeded in carriying out a number of applied studies for the addressees and customers. In the light of the expertise capabilities as well as the contacts and considerable credit it has gained in the international arena, Neda Institute has achieved a special status as a professional institute.The Farsi version of this article can be found here
Wahid Mardane is Master student of Middle East Studies at the University of Tehran, he is political researcher at Neda Institute, a non-profit organization that focus on Palestine issues. Mardane is also political and peace activist, he has been invited as a speaker on Middle East affairs in academic meetings. He has written various articles, The function of censorship, Playing with statistics in the literature Gaza 50 days war, The struggle of mediations in the midst of Gaza war. Mardane is also founder of the global movement Celebrities4Palestine hashtag #Celebs4Pal