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CPEC Logistics Capacity: Karakoram Highway vs. the Proposed Trans-Karakoram Rail Link

September 12, 2026 1 comment

By Marivel Guzman | Akashma News


A Supplementary Technical Analysis to “The Strategic Nexus of the New Silk Road”
Prepared: September 11, 2026


1. Scope Note

The source document supplied for this analysis (Guzman, 2026) addresses CPEC’s geopolitical framing, Gawadar’s naval/commercial role, and Pakistan’s debt exposure to Chinese IPPs — it does not contain freight-throughput, TEU, or rail-engineering data. The figures below are drawn from separate research (government statements, NHA/Pakistan Railways disclosures, and peer-reviewed capacity modeling) to answer the logistics-specific questions posed. Where projections are estimates rather than confirmed government figures, this is flagged explicitly.

3. Highway Capacity: The 10 m → 30 m Widening Program

The Raikot–Khunjerab Section (335 km) was upgraded under a **$327.74 million China Eximbank loan** (total project cost ~$491–500 million), completed in November 2013. This project widened the roadway from 10 meters to 30 meters, added 32 new bridges (27 rehabilitated), and was designed to keep the route passable year-round and suitable for heavy, long-body freight vehicles.

Further upgrades are ongoing or planned:
Thakot–Raikot section (~240 km): MOU-stage realignment and upgrade, discussed during 2023 high-level visits, cost estimated in the billions of rupees.
Hasan Abdal–Mansehra section: NHA is reviewing dualization/rehabilitation of the existing carriageway to relieve congestion and slow-moving freight trailers.
Attabad Lake realignment section: Chinese-financed realignment, expected multi-year timeline.

Net effect: the KKH’s Pakistani alignment (N-35, 887 km) is being converted piecemeal from a narrow, seasonally vulnerable mountain road into a wider, hardened freight corridor — but full end-to-end dualization is not yet complete.



4. Bottleneck Analysis: Khunjerab Pass and the Thakot–Raikot Chokepoint

Altitude and seasonal closure (historical bottleneck):
– Khunjerab Pass sits at roughly 4,700–5,000 m, the highest paved international border crossing in the world.
– Under the 1985/2013 border protocols, the pass was traditionally open only April–November, closing December–March due to snow and low-oxygen conditions — a structural constraint on annual freight capacity.
– Following an October 2023 announcement at the Belt and Road Forum, China and Pakistan agreed to convert Khunjerab to **year-round operation; this took effect starting December 1, 2024. However, implementation has been uneven — the pass has also seen ad hoc closures tied to trader disputes over customs procedures (e.g., a multi-month suspension in 2025 over new scanning fees at Sost, resolved that October).
– Practical effect: even after the year-round policy, the corridor remains vulnerable to (a) residual heavy snowfall requiring active clearance, and (b) customs/administrative friction at Sost.

Engineering bottleneck (current capacity constraint):


A 2025 peer-reviewed capacity study (Adeel et al., *Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology – Transport*, 2025) modeling the Burhan–Khunjerab route specifically for a 2035 horizon found:


– The Thakot–Raikot section — not Khunjerab itself — is the critical bottleneck, with a modeled additional capacity of roughly 9,519 trucks/day at Level of Service “C” before saturation.
– Under trade-growth assumptions, the corridor is projected to carry about 7.93% of China’s total trade value** and 6.39% of trade tonnage by 2035 if current capacity-expansion plans proceed.
– Statistical relationships derived: each $1 million annual increase in Pakistan’s trade correlates with ~1.3 million ton-km of additional road freight; each 1-million-ton increase in trade volume adds ~1,684 million ton-km of freight movement.

Takeaway: Khunjerab’s altitude/weather profile is the *headline* bottleneck in public narratives, but the *binding engineering constraint* identified in recent modeling sits further south, at Thakot–Raikot — the still-unupgraded middle section of the highway.


No freight currently moves by rail across the Khunjerab/Kashgar frontier — this is a proposed, not operational, corridor.



On TEU capacity: No official, engineering-grade TEU throughout projection specifically for the Kashgar–Havelian rail line has been published in government or peer-reviewed sources found in this research. Public statements to date describe the line only in route-length and strategic terms, not container-volume terms — the project remains pre-feasibility/MOU stage rather than at the design stage where TEU modeling would normally be produced. Any TEU figure attributed to this rail link in third-party commentary should be treated as speculative rather than an official target; I’d flag any such number to you rather than present it as sourced. If you need a comparative estimate, an alternative is to benchmark against ML-1’s confirmed capacity uplift (32→171 trains/day) and the trade-tonnage growth rates in Section 4 as a proxy for potential rail demand — I can build that model if useful.

7. Government Targets Toward 2030

– CPEC’s overarching route — 3,218 km of roads, railways, fiber-optic lines and pipelines linking Gwadar to Kashgar** — carries an official completion horizon of **2030**, per Pakistani government statements dating to the corridor’s 2015 launch.
– China’s cumulative investment/contribution under CPEC has been projected by Pakistan’s Planning Commission Centre of Excellence to exceed $100 billion by 2030** (up from an initial $46 billion, revised to $62 billion as of 2018 estimates).
– No single, current, official document was found in this research that sets a specific **TEU or tonnage target for 2030** on the Karakoram Highway or the rail corridor specifically; targets that do exist are expressed in dollar-value trade terms and megawatt/kilometer infrastructure terms rather than container throughput.



8. Caveats

– Figures on cost, length, and dates come from a mix of government statements, wire reporting, and one peer-reviewed engineering study; some (e.g., project costs, MOU-stage segment lengths) have shifted between sources over the corridor’s 15-year history and should be treated as approximate.
– The absence of a published TEU projection for the rail link is itself a finding — it indicates the project has not reached the design stage where such projections are normally produced, not that the figure exists but was simply unavailable to this search.

The Strategic Nexus of the New Silk Road

CPEC Logistics Capacity: Karakoram Highway vs. the Proposed Trans-Karakoram Rail Link

Under Siege: The Security Crisis Threatening CPEC and Gwadar Port

Balochistan the poorest province of Pakistan

The “All-Chinese” Swap: Fact-Checking the Labor Myths in Overseas Lithium Mining

Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media


Published on August 15, 2012 by Akashma Online News

Re-blogged from FarazAhmed.com

Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media

Muslims Slaughter by Buddhist Debunked – Fake Pictures exposed

Faraz Ahmed July 14, 2012 328

Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

In now a days people are posting pictures with captions like Muslims killing in burma, Muslims slaughted by Buddhists in Burma..

I have search reality of few pics and found following:

A picture shared on facebook:

602535 335682046513473 517563933 n Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

I have found original version here:

http://www.tibetancommunity.be/news/chinaquake.html

This picture was taken in 2010 regarding Earthquake in China and tibetians community help and rescue in China. Now Islamic political parties and some other elements are sharing this image as Muslims killing / slaughter in Burma.

tibet orig Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

A view of another  widely spreaded  picture with caption of “More then 1000 people killed in Burma” which also has a fake caption.

575850 422729151098985 1400558517 n Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

Original Image and Website:

This picture is of year 2004 nearly 8 years old about riots in Thailand.

http://tarikh100.blogspot.com/2011/11/blog-post_5836.html

VOICE LIBERTY NATIONAL 093950 Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

One more image is spreading on social media with logo of Jamat-e-Islami having caption “terrorists of Budhism of Burma kills 500 Muslims”

Terrorists of Budhism of Burma Kills 500 Muslims at the Beach today 753438 Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

Well this image is also one of incident occur in Thiland (2nd January 2009)

http://merhrom.wordpress.com/2009/01/22/end-human-rights-violations-towards-stateless-rohingya-refugees-by-thai-government/

A view of images shared in this article:

original image 286x1024 Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

One more image spreaded on Social Media regarding Muslims Killing in Burma

fb image Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

This picture is also misleading original picture was from Riots in Thailand and taken in 2003:

http://www.islammemo.cc/zakera/moslimoon-mansioon/2003/01/30/1134.html?lang=en-us

fb origi Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

One more misleading image shared on facebook with caption “A Muslim was burned in Burma and Journalist are Taking pictures instead of saving him “

fb image02 Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

The original image was taken when Chinese president visit India:

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/320319/20120327/tibetan-activist-fire-protest-chinese-president-photos.htm

fb image02 origi 700x1024 Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

By sharing all these doesn’t mean that Muslims aren’t killed in Burma but what I mean is we are sharing everything without verification and authenticity of image.

Added: 07-18-2012

I have found more more picture (07-18-2012)  so Iam sharing it here.

burma muslims Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

The real image was regarding 9/11 attacks and arrests of Tajikis and Uzbiks.

http://www.islamicfashionfestival.com.my/malay/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=53&Itemid=85

burma muslims orig Muslims Killing in Burma and our Social Media / Islamic Parties

Again I Like to mention that POSTING THESE FAKE IMAGES DOESN’T MEANS THAT MUSLIMS ARE NOT KILLED IN BURMA, THE ONLY REASON OF SHARING THOSE IMAGES IS TO SHOW HOW SOCIAL MEDIA AND POLITICAL PARTIES ARE MANIPULATING IMAGES.

Neglecting Home while giving away the Wealth and the Power, All In The Name Of Profits and Slavery


Posted by Marivel Guzman

Is China the Next Superpower-The Sleeping Dragon
We will celebrate Labor Day in China
Slavery in The Corporate World-In the Name of Profits

When corporate America thought that saving few dollars on salaries will make them stronger in the world market, they miscalculated the downfall of their power. Power vested on them when they controlled the world with Mr Dollar.
It is not the same to play with toys make in china for 3 cents a piece and to play with toys made in the US for 3 dollars. The 3 cents toys will brake because the quality is not included in the price, the salary might be included because slave hands are used to make those toys. ‘All in the name of profits’.

The mentality that everything could be made in China grew to a devastating proportions for United States, We the United States of North America sent our manufacturers to China, even some of the Military gadgets were to be made in China, critical technology for the Defense Department was even ‘Made In China’
Where were the strategists of the government in the last 20 years, China was in an accelerated race buying our government bonds owing with this a piece of our economy and weakling up our World Power. Wait! Did we knew that we will be using slave labor? Didn’t we abolished slavery almost 100 years ago, that’s what our History says, don’t we commemorate Abraham Lincoln with big fanfare? We are hypocrites, some even go to Church every Sunday, they repent of their sins weekly but in the in the week they shop in “Wall Mart” the worse slave trader and Domestic Economy Killer. Maybe there is something you should know

“Even if China’s population multiplies many times, she is fully capable of finding a solution; the solution is production,” Mao Zedong proclaimed in 1949. “Of all things in the world, people are the most precious.” The communist government condemned birth control and banned imports of contraceptives.
China One Child’s Policy
Well that statement was slogan after a few years, when the One Child Policy become effective after on and off periods, read the article in its entirely, there is information that you won’t find, but if you read between the lines you can understand the negative consequences of that policy, you will not read about the millions and millions or “Illegal Chinese Man and Woman” that born out of state permit, their parents did not have money to pay the exorbitant fines that they were required to pay for having braking the “Law”, but we ask ourselves in United States of North America we have strong groups that are against abortion, don’t we? but in China abortions are mandatory when you are found pregnant and you have already your “ONE Child”. This story is not about abortion, or Chinese laws but about Profits made with slave Chinese Labor, Yeah! if you as a parent broke the law and you did not pay the fine to the government for having more than one child, which is most common case because usually the couples that get pregnant out of the policy are the poorest in the Chinese Society, these babies are born without birth certificate, and without birth certificate you simply do not exist, that makes you Illegal Chinese in China, you can not go to school because you do not exist, and when you reach working age which is by the way very early age for these Illegal Chinese they become part of the slave trade in China that abuse their status, and we the Corporations of the world not only the Corporate America some other First and Second World Countries are taking “advantage” of these slaves. All in the name of profits. These Illegal Chinese of China are under paid if they get any pay at all, they are used for the most dangerous jobs and they can not complain after all they do not exist.

There are horrible stories about These slaves that tired to being Illegal in their countries they venture to the outside world only to fall in a more grotesque form of slavery, Sweat Shops They leave China in containers filled with fish or whatever material is good to cover the contraband, those stories you don’t see in the news, you has to go out of your way to find the story. The sharks, the human traffickers don’t touch their heart when they empty the containers with the inert bodies of these humans that want a better life. They leave the Mother Land with the promise to get them jobs in America, the traffickers charged them tens of thousands of dollars that are like a dead debt, they are kept in inhumane conditions, mostly without pay until they pay back the “FEE”. Sure there are laws against these practices but they are overlooked, All in the name of Profits.

Our Capitalist Societies are ready to receive the carcasses of the survivals, there will always be an employer that will “Risk” to pay the fines for accepting slave labor, at the end profits is always bigger than the fines.

The disproportionate rationale that living in a Capitalist Society driven by consumerism has to produce profits No Matter what, to keep the status Quo of being strong society because we are Capitalist, because we abuse our labor, after all the base of Capitalism rest on the sweet of the worker, right? So making more profits is an extension and maybe a solidification of our Capital System, well has proven to be wrong. We wanted to make 3 cents toys instead of 3 dollars toys. Why the economist, the analysts of our system did not oversaw that while we will be saving in manufacturing cost we will be killing our system of consumption.

We end up feeding two monsters; the Slave Trade and Creating a huge unemployment rate that will eventually will lead us to a social unrest like the one we just saw developed in the middle east just in the last few months. Maybe we won’t see the crowds marching with sticks and flags demanding jobs, no in North America we have other ways to demand justice, in here we Riot, we Strike, we Boycott and the most importantly in North America “We Consume” we could paralyze our Cities if we use “OUR BUYING POWER”, ‘WE STOP DRIVING ONE DAY”, “WE DON’T BUY GAS ONE DAY” and we will Shape North America back in Check…

The Corporations opened the gates of the factories and disbanded millions of workers as if they were a herd of animals to go graze in the grass without worrying that they needed to make money to buy the 3 cents toys. Eating grass (welfare system) was not going to give them extra pennies to buy Chinese toys. Isn’t it common sense, that to maintain a capitalist society you need to support the base of it, which is the worker class, I mean! common Harvard graduates, Bankers didn’t you oversaw your wrong doings. You took the bread from the table and took the baking oven, what were you expecting to starve to death the workers! and …..replace them with slaves? I don’t think that you were thinking that you will be crating a sub-society of sub-humans that were going to be fighting to survive, and I did not think that you wanted to take the Economy Power from the US and give it to CHINA? Was that part of the plant? Don’t you know Globalist Bankers, Thieves and Associates that we live in an organism “society” that evolve, we move with the times, with the changes, we are not robots that you take the battery and we stay to rust,

No! No! we ALL are humans and if “YOU” even thought that creating this “CHAOS” of world you still will have the control using the War Complex Machine as a backing tool, making the “PEOPLE” believe that we don’t matter, that we are SLAVES only to follow the whip of your control. Can the tanks force us to Drive?, Can the United States Army can come to our homes to force us to go buy Gas or unnecessary food?

United States of North America Vs China. Can their armies be competing for world control?
China’s demonstration of military might and authoritarian muscle on October 1st, its national day, was one recent example of how its judgment can go awry. The parade of thousands of goose-stepping troops through central Beijing, along with military hardware intended mainly to intimidate America and its quasi-ally Taiwan, was a throwback to the imagery of cold-war days. It did not help that dissidents were rounded up and the public kept away from the event

Such scenes touch raw nerves in America, where intellectual and political opinion has long been bitterly divided over how to assess China’s rise. Left-wing Democrats, alarmed by China’s human-rights abuses, find themselves in league with right-wing Republicans who see China as a new Soviet Union, to be distrusted and contained. The October 1st extravaganza also worried a third, more centrist, camp: those who see the Communist Party’s resort to nationalism as a sign of its weakness and of China’s vulnerability to upheaval that could have damaging global consequences. Sleeping Dragon/China

Can the War Complex Machine subsist without workers? Will the World Powers subsist without “Believers” think about it
A Nation without “We the People” Has No Power.
Can unemployment brake the economy of a nation?, You bet It can. But the Will of the People Can Straighten the worse case of Corruption, abuse, intolerance, negligence, ignorance, and Deaf Leaders. Be the Owner of your Destiny, Take Control Back to your hands, The Power to the People is coming back. Be a dissenter voice, and add your voice to the already growing grassroots movements. We Can Do It.
Peace To All

Wake Up America

The Next Knock Out, Forclosure & Banks Bail Outs, Wars & Profits, Accidents/Catastrophes and More!


Posted on April 1, 2011 by Marivel Guzman

The Wars,Earthquakes,Tsunamis,Nuclear and Oil Accidents,Revolutions, all paying off well. “Blue chips achieving the best quarterly gains since 1998”. OH! Bad News for Jobless American, 6,000 Americans lost benefits, but don’t worry! “Seasonally adjusted 388,000, which was mostly in line with analysts’ previous estimates”. So it makes it OK, because they Estimated it. Statistics are Fake Numbers to Numb your MIND

U.S stocks traded mixed in the last trading day of the first quarter, with blue chips achieving the best quarterly gains since 1998.

Investors were concerned that a possible inflation risk might hurt the U.S. economic recovery as oil prices on Thursday hit the highest level since September 2008. Meanwhile, the market stayed uneasy as many markets-affecting issues, such as the nuclear leakage incidents in quake-hit Japan and unrest in the Middle East and North Africa, remained unsettled.

The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, fell below 18.

On the economic front, the U.S. jobless data last week showed the jobs market was still on the track of improving. The Labor Department posted that initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 388,000, which was mostly in line with analysts’ previous estimates.

Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said new orders for manufactured goods fell 0.1 percent to 446 billion dollars, after an upwardly revised 3.3 percent gain in January.

As for stocks, basic materials still led the gainers on Thursday. Transportation and energy sectors were also among the biggest winners but financial shares were down 0.23 percent as the Federal Reserve Bank of New York rejected American International Group’s plan to repurchase a risky set of mortgage-backed securities late Wednesday.

China Economic Net

Frauds and Bonuses

“AIG declined 2.52 percent on Thursday, and the Bank of America, the other gauge stock of financial shares, closed with a 0.89 percent drop”. The last time I checked AIG was being prosecuted for Fraud. Calm down people, they fixed their crook ways and “offer in compromise” to Settle the Fraud.

AIG settles longstanding fraud cases for $1 billion

Isn’t is neat?, this Giant Insurance American Insurance Company engaged in one of the biggest frauds on American history and make billions on the scam and settle for 750,000 Millions. Plus get Bail Out Money.
And the Big Bonuses and Bribes started rolling in the high circles of corruption, high up in the the floors of the tallest buildings.

So Who Win and Who Loose? We the People Loose and The Bankers Win.


But what about the “Natural Disasters”!, Weather Defense System, Ring Any Bells? HAARP could accidentally lose control of the Frequencies that Generates? Maybe and cooking the Earth at very low frequency is a dangerous Business to engage, unless they have a magic wand to stop the process once is unleashed. How much of control does HAARP has over their Giants Antennas? Could they generate a strong Earthquake able to shake the sea beds and created a Giant Wave?

The United States Navy and Air Force have joined with the University of Alaska, Fairbanks, to build a prototype for a ground based “Star Wars” weapon system located in the remote bush country of Alaska.

The individuals who are demanding answers about HAARP are scattered around the planet. As well as bush dwellers in Alaska, they include: a physician in Finland; a scientist in Holland; an anti-nuclear protester in Australia; independent physicists in the United States; a grandmother in Canada, and countless others.

Alternative News Net


And who win and who lose, Insurance Companies, The International Monetary Fund will come to the rescue, …Say Again!…Bankers will rescue the devastated Countries, and those countries will need some food to survive..Guess!
MONSANTO comes to the rescue donating infected (Genetically Modified Seeds)…

The base of any species survival reside in the SEED. When we modify the structure of development of its genes we are creating a molecular conflict with its environment and its ability to evolve and adapt to the surroundings that were in place before its modification.
Monsanto have played in this field for quite some times, in its efforts to monopolize the supply of seeds, control its development and future behavior in a specific type of soil, which have also been modified to create the conditions for the new structure to grow.

Monsanto can change the genes of a particular specie of seed, and maybe change the soil where it will be developed, but Monsanto can not possible control all the conditions in the environment; such the weather conditions that are required to create healthy plants, microscopic organisms that by normal natural law live in certain types of soils.

Monsanto More Dangerous than War Itself

China might be the WWIII Winner, if we survive it. Think Again. The Sleeping Giant? After all all the civilized world sent, their manufactures to China, All kind of “Made in China” the Whole World got inundated with electronics, clothing, toys, gadgets, even babies. Now we have a Giant Country that own most of Government Bonds of the Civilized World. We made China Strong, and we all weaken our Countries. And Now What?

Huang Haiyuang, a senior researcher
who has traveled widely in
the West, summarized seven PLA technological
priorities:
 information operations and warfare
 air and missile technology
 precision guided munitions
 defensive weapon technology
 unmanned aerial vehicle technology
 military space technology
 naval carrier (air-to-ship integration).
China Liberation Army: Looks At The Future
by C H A R L E S F. H A W K I N S

Armageddon! Nope…We The People are The Sleeping Giant…Time To WAKE UP..and Take Control of your Future, or others will do for you.